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- <text id=93TT1162>
- <title>
- Mar. 15, 1993: No Surprise, No Joy:The Recovery Slows
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1993
- Mar. 15, 1993 In the Name of God
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- THE WEEK, Page 19
- BUSINESS
- No Surprise, No Joy: The Recovery Slows
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>It hasn't yet helped the poor much either, as food-stamp figures
- prove
- </p>
- <p> It had to happen: the U.S. economy's 4.8% growth rate in last
- year's fourth quarter was too fast to last. Still, though a
- spate of reports showing a marked early-1993 slowdown was no
- surprise, it was no cause for joy either. January numbers
- showing the sharpest plunge in new-home sales in 11 years might
- be shrugged off, since winter housing figures are notoriously
- unreliable. Slow February sales by major retail chains are a
- pattern worsened this year by storms. Drops in January factory
- orders, the late-February selling pace of new cars and an
- increase in first-time claims for unemployment insurance were
- not so easily dismissed. One bit of consolation: the
- unemployment rate dropped a tenth of a percentage point in
- February, to 7.0%. The bad news is that 90% of the employment
- gain was made up of workers settling for part-time jobs.
- </p>
- <p> Worse, the recovery has not yet brought much help to the
- poor--quite the contrary. The number of people qualifying for
- food stamps has fallen sharply after previous recessions ended.
- But it has jumped 40% in the past three years; in December,
- after 21 months of recovery and six months of rapidly rising
- production, food-stamp qualifiers reached an all- time high of
- 26.6 million, or 10.4% of the total population. Economists
- generally still expect output growth of about 3% this year, up
- from 2.1% in 1992. They had better be right.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
-